Handicapping And The Seven Day Rule

If you are hoping to learn the “principles” of horse racing handicapping, you may have seen this “law” before. Virtually any horse returning after only 7 days or less since its last event is really a great bet. Let us look at that carefully and notice if it is a principle one ought to keep to.

To begin with, there are actually no true absolutes in horse racing. You’ll find only possibilities. Therefore, it isn’t a rule and it is not set in stone. It is more of a suggestion influenced by possibility or likeliness. Precisely what we want to understand is, how likely is it that a horse will win after a 7 day rest?

mathematically, horses do win very often after a 7 day layoff or sometimes even less. But should you be trying to earn money betting on horses, the problem is how often does a horse who race with this trainer return to the races and win and can that number compare with the odds you are seeing on this particular particular horse. Before you try to wrap your mind around that equation, there is more to it.

Let us say a particular trainer wins Fourty % of the time any time he brings a horse right back to the races after a 7 days rest. You see that 1 of his horses will be entered today and is going to post at an incredible 10-1. You might think you’ve struck it rich and cannot wait to get your bets down.

The issue is that one don’t know that when this horses does win after a 7 day rest, they almost always win at odds of 2-1 or less. The explanation is that any time he has a horse that is going to win, or has a good probability of winning, he and the rest of his buddies on the backstretch bet the horse down.

The point is that you cannot make money with just a single aspect. You must be like a detective and get the clues alongside one another to come up with a scenario. The majority of bettors, will search in the form or some other past performances and see a trainer’s stats that states a trainer wins Forty% with horses coming back after Seven days or less and then bet on that individual horse – ready to win Forty percent of their wagers no matter what the odds might be.

Do not hang your hat or risk your bankroll on one angle alone. Discover to put techniques in unison and to polish your betting. You will make a lot less bets but in the long run, you can make more money wagering on horses and isn’t what the whole purpose of handicapping horse races really is all about?

For more great horse betting tips, visit my site and learn more about the best horse racing systems.

Article Source: Handicapping And The Seven Day Rule